Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Coritiba vs Cascavel CR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.1%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CCR
1 - 3
COT
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
COT
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COT
3 - 1
CAS
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JMA
0 - 2
COT
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
81%
15%
5%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CCR
1 - 3
COT
10%
19%
71%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CCR
5 - 1
GEM
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 6
CCR
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CCR
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
CCR
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |