Coritiba vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
COT
3 - 2
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
COT
0 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAY
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 3
SAO
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
GOI
1 - 3
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |