Coritiba vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
COT
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
COT
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 0
COT
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
CEA
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |