Coritiba vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
5 - 1
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |