Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-3
Coritiba vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
COT
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 0
OLI
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DYJ
1 - 2
BEL
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |