Coritiba vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PST
2 - 1
COT
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
COT
3 - 3
RIO
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
OPE
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
COT
9%
19%
73%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 2
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
INT
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
AVA
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 3
BRU
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |