Coritiba vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PST
0 - 1
COT
6%
14%
81%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
COT
6%
14%
81%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
COT
2 - 0
CIA
74%
19%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CCR
3 - 2
COT
4%
12%
83%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
COT
6%
14%
80%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
ATP
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
PEÑ
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 3
ATP
16%
24%
61%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ATP
5 - 1
CCR
88%
10%
2%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |