Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-2
Coritiba vs Atlético GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 4
COT
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
ARA
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CCR
0 - 3
COT
7%
15%
78%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
COT
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COT
4 - 2
PAR
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 3
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
COT
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
GOI
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |