Coritiba vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
COT
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 1
COT
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
COT
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
IFC
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASA
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
PPE
0 - 0
ASA
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
0 - 2
DUQ
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |