Coritiba vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 0
COT
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COT
3 - 0
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
COT
1 - 2
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
COR
5 - 1
COT
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 0
JMA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ACP
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 2
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |