Coritiba vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 1
COT
9%
17%
75%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COT
2 - 3
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 2
COT
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
FFL
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 3
COT
25%
25%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
CCR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ACP
2 - 2
JMA
35%
25%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
ACP
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 0
ACP
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ACP
2 - 1
CCR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |