Coríntians RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coríntians RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
ASS
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 2
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 0
COR
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 0
COR
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |