Coríntians RN vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coríntians RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
COR
2 - 0
CCP
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
POT
1 - 1
COR
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
COR
0 - 1
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 0
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPO
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +2 |