Coríntians RN vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coríntians RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
4 - 1
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COR
4 - 1
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
COR
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
ARN
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |