Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
COR
33%
27%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
CRZ
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 2
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
COR
4 - 0
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VAS
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRÊ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 2
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |