Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
GOI
1 - 1
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
COR
2 - 1
FFL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FFL
3 - 3
VAS
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 2
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 3
VAS
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |