Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
COR
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SCI
3 - 0
COR
47%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 2
PPE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |