Corinthians vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
COR
36%
30%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 0
COR
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
COT
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 2
SPO
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRZ
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 1
SPO
62%
24%
15%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |