Copa do Brasil Final
Global 3-3
Corinthians vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
FOR
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ABC
0 - 1
COR
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 3
COR
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 1
SPO
55%
26%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 1
FLU
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |