Corinthians vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
COR
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
MIR
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
OES
1 - 2
COR
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SER
2 - 2
SAO
3%
14%
83%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SER
0 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 1
SER
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
SER
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |