Paulista A1 Final
Global 2-1
Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
COR
34%
29%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
CEA
59%
25%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAL
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITU
73%
19%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |