Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
SCI
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ATL
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAH
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 0
PPE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAO
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |