Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
GOI
0 - 0
COR
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 2
CRZ
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
CRZ
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |