Corinthians vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FLA
3 - 0
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LAN
4 - 2
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
GOI
3 - 1
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
COR
0 - 3
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 0
PAL
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 2
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 1
FLA
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAL
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |