Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 6-6
Corinthians vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2000 |
COR
2 - 1
ATM
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
COR
3 - 2
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
CEN
3 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 2
ATS
86%
10%
5%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2000 |
ATS
0 - 2
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
PEÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |