Corinthians vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COR
0 - 2
SAN
70%
21%
9%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
COR
8%
20%
72%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
9%
21%
71%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 4
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOV
32%
23%
45%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COR
3 - 0
NOV
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
2 - 0
NOV
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |