Corinthians vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 1
COR
33%
32%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
POR
0 - 2
COR
47%
30%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1991 |
COR
4 - 1
BVS
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
COR
1 - 1
ATP
52%
29%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
COR
3 - 1
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
FLA
4 - 0
NAC
47%
28%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
1 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |