Corinthians vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
COR
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
LON
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
COR
16%
27%
57%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 0
COR
14%
25%
60%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COR
3 - 2
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 3
ARG
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 3
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |