Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-1
Corinthians vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 1
COR
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
COT
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
VIT
65%
22%
14%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 2
LUV
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
4 - 0
LUV
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
BAR
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |