Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Corinthians vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CUI
0 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 3
SCI
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 2
JUV
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |