Corinthians vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
NAU
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
COR
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
COR
2 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
SER
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 1
JUV
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 3
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 2
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
VER
0 - 2
JUV
17%
20%
63%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
GAU
1 - 1
JUV
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |