Corinthians vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
MIR
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
COR
14%
28%
58%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ITU
3 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
ITU
7%
17%
76%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
ITU
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |