Corinthians vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 2
COR
33%
26%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
COR
5 - 1
RIO
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 2
COR
15%
23%
63%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
CCP
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COR
4 - 3
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 1
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |