Corinthians vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
COR
11%
25%
64%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
AGU
83%
14%
4%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
41%
27%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
COT
2 - 2
COR
28%
29%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |