Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-0
Corinthians vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
COR
2 - 2
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 1
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
CRI
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
COR
2 - 2
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
OPE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |