Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-1
Corinthians vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 2
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 2
FFL
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |