Corinthians vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
COR
26%
29%
46%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
COR
36%
30%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
BAH
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |