Corinthians vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
COR
0 - 3
ATM
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
3 - 0
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 3
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
COR
3 - 2
SAO
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
COR
4 - 1
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CSM
1 - 2
FEN
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
FEN
2 - 0
STR
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 2
FEN
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
FEN
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
FEN
6 - 1
CAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |