Corinthians vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
COR
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
CRZ
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 0
COR
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
GOI
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
VAS
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAH
64%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
SCI
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |