Corinthians vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.3%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
SAO
49%
28%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
RAC
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
COR
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
COR
12%
21%
68%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
69%
19%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SLU
1 - 0
ECA
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 0
GUA
14%
21%
64%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
6 - 0
ECA
83%
13%
4%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
ECA
2 - 1
PEL
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ECA
0 - 0
AIM
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |