Corinthians vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
REM
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
3 - 1
COR
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
ARG
60%
23%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
CRZ
64%
21%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
EME
2 - 3
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IVT
2 - 0
LFC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
IVT
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 0
DEL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |