Corinthians vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
39%
29%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SCI
1 - 2
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 1
COR
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
39%
29%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
4 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
COT
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
CRI
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |