Corinthians vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
COR
4 - 3
CRZ
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 3
COR
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
PAY
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
COR
3 - 1
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
COT
1 - 1
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
COT
3 - 2
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
COT
0 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |