Corinthians vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
20.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COR
3 - 2
RIO
68%
22%
10%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
OES
1 - 2
COR
19%
28%
53%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
PAL
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
COR
24%
29%
47%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
BRA
66%
23%
12%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
COM
85%
12%
3%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
PPE
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |