Corinthians vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
COR
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
4 - 2
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
COR
24%
27%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
ATM
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |