Corinthians vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
COT
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |