Corinthians vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
12%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
ATM
42%
27%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
COR
28%
30%
42%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
BRA
69%
21%
10%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
FLU
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
GOI
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CRZ
4 - 2
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |