Corinthians vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SCI
1 - 0
COR
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
CUE
2 - 1
COR
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 1
COR
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
COR
1 - 1
SCI
36%
29%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SCI
2 - 0
COR
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CUE
0 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCI
13%
23%
64%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 1
COR
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
51%
22%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
GAL
4 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |