Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-4
Corinthians vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
COR
3 - 1
FLU
51%
28%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
3 - 1
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
GOI
1 - 0
COR
50%
28%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1991 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
46%
29%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
FER
0 - 0
BOC
29%
32%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
3 - 1
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
2 - 0
GLP
69%
21%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
OPE
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1991 |
CEN
1 - 1
BOC
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |