Corinthians vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
COR
1 - 1
ATP
52%
29%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
COR
3 - 1
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
1 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 1
BVS
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
1 - 1
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
BVS
2 - 2
FLA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |